
Methodology: We will not move races in and out of Deadlocked! based one one poll. Our numbers are based on averaging the 3 most recent polls (Unless there are multiple polls in a race per day). This will help prevent false outliers from moving races off a whim. Bolded, colored names, represent the leader in polling.
Changes from Last Update: THIS IS OUR FINAL SENATE PROJECTION. NO MORE TOSS UPS. HIGHLIGHTED RACES are once to keep an eye on.
Final Projection: DEMS: 58 GOP: 39 INDEP: 2 Runoff: 1
Updated 11/3/08
| STE | DEMOCRATS | REPUBLICAN | Inc Seat | LAST POLLS | PROJECTED WINNER |
| ALA | Vivian Figures 31.7% | Sen. Jeff Sessions 62.6% | GOP | SUSA, Rasm, Rasm, | Sessions reelected easily |
| ARK | Sen. Mark Pryor | Unopposed | DEM | Unopposed | Pryor reelected easily |
| AK | Mark Begich 52% | Sen. Ted Stevens 41.7% | GOP | Res2000, Rasm, Ivan, | Mark Begich takes out the Felon, DEM PICKUP (+1) |
| CO | Mark Udall 53.3% | Robert Schaffer 40% | Open (GOP) | CNN, PPP, NJ, AP, | Mark Udall wins easily, DEM PICKUP (+2) |
| DEL | Sen. Joe Biden 65% | Christine O'Donnell 32% | DEM | SUSA, SUSA | Biden wins easily |
| GA | Jim Martin 44% | Sen. Saxby Chambliss 48.3% | GOP | PPP, SUSA, Res2000, | This is going to a runoff, neither will get the 50% --- 12/2/08 |
| ID | Larry Lorocco 31.25% | REP. Jim Risch 49.25% | GOP | RES 2000, Rasm, GSmith, | Risch will coast in easily |
| ILL | Sen. Dick Durbin 60% | Steve Sauerberg 33% | DEM | Res2000, Rasm, Rasm | Durbin easily wins |
| IOW | Sen. Tom Harkin 58.3% | Christopher Reed 34.3% | DEM | Selz. SUSA, Rasm, | Harkin easily wins |
| KS | Jim Slattery 34.6% | Sen. Pat Roberts 57.3% | GOP | SUSA, SUSA, Rasm, | Roberts easily wins |
| KTY | Bruce Lunsford 43.75% | Sen. Mitch McConnell 49.5% | GOP | SUSA, RES200, SUSA, | McConnell wins by closer than he would like |
| LA | Sen. Mary Landrieu 51.7% | John Kennedy 37% | DEM | Loy, SE Lou UNIV, Rasm, | Sorry GOP, Landrieu will win this easily |
| ME | Tom Allen 41.7% | Sen. Susan Collins 55.7% | GOP | Rasm, CI, Res2000, | Once targeted as a pick up, Collins easily wins |
| MASS | Sen. John Kerry 60% | Jeff Beatty 31% | DEM | SUSA, SUSA, Rasm, | Kerry easily wins |
| MICH | Sen. Carl Levin 56% | Jack Hoogendyk 35% | DEM | SV, Epic, Epic, Rasm, | Levin easily wins |
| MINN | Al Franken 40.3% | Sen. Norm Coleman 40.3% | GOP | SUSA, Star, PPP, | DEAD TIE !!!! We project Franken wins a nail biter. (+3) |
| MISS | Eric Fleming 35% | Thad Cochran 58% | GOP | Rasm | Cochran wins easily |
| MISS | Ronnie Musgrove 39.7% | Sen. Roger Wicker 50% | GOP | Res2000, Rasm, Res 2000, | Wickers wins by small margin, Musgrove fades |
| MONT | Sen. Max Baucus 67.5% | Bob Kelleher 28.5% | DEM | PPP, Rasm | Baucus wins easily |
| NEB | Scott Kleeb 34% | Mike Johanns 57.5% | OPEN (GOP) | Rasm, Rasm, Rasm, | Johanns wins easily |
| NC | Kay Hagan 47.4% | Sen. Elizabeth Dole 42.8% | GOP | PPP, CNN, Elon, | Despicable ad backfires, Hagan pulls away (+4) |
| NH | Jeanne Shaheen 49.25% | Sen. John Sununu 41.25% | GOP | UNH, ARG, SUSA, | Steady pickup, Shaheen wins (+5) |
| NJ | Sen.Frank Lautenberg 51% | Dick Zimmer 40.3% | DEM | Mon, Res2000, SV, Marist, | Was a GOP target, now an easy Lautenberg win |
| NM | Tom Udall 57% | Steve Pearce 39% | OPEN (GOP) | AJ, PPP, Rasm | Udall wins easily - DEM pickup. (+6) |
| OKL | Andrew Rice 39% | Sen. James Inohfe 52.5% | GOP | SUSA, TV Poll, SUSA, | Inohfe wins easily |
| ORE | Jeff Merkley 48.5% | Sen. Gordon Smith 42.5% | GOP | Rasm, PPP, Hibb, SUSA, (6 Polls in 5 days) | Merkley wins a tight one - DEM pickup (+7) |
| RI | Sen. Jake Reed | Unopposed | DEM | Unopposed | Reed wins easily |
| SC | Robert Conley 39.5% | Sen. Lindsey Graham 57% | GOP | SUSA, Res 2000, SUSA, | Graham wins easily |
| SD | Sen. Tim Johnson 57% | Joe Dykstra 34% | DEM | Mason | Johnson wins easily |
| TN | Bob Tuke 34% | Sen. Lamar Alexander 59% | GOP | Res2000, MTSU, Rasm | Alexander wins easily |
| TX | Rick Noriega 42% | Sen. John Cornyn 52% | GOP | Rasm, Res2000, Rasm, | Conryn holds off challenge |
| VA | Mark Warner 60.7% | Jim Gilmore 30.3% | OPEN (GOP) | PPP, SUSA, CNN, | Warner has an easy pickup (+8) |
| WV | Sen. Jay Rockefeller 59.5% | Jay Wolfe 36.5% | DEM | PPP | Rockefeller wins easily |
| WY | Rothfuss 34% | Sen. Mike Enzi 61% | GOP | Res 2000 | Enzi wins easily |
| WY | Nick Carter 36% | John Barrasso 57% | OPEN | Res 2000 | Barrasso wins easily |