MethodologyWe will not move races in and out of Deadlocked! based one one poll.  Our numbers are based on averaging the 3 most recent polls (Unless there are multiple polls in a race per day). This will help prevent false outliers from moving races off a whim.  Bolded, colored names, represent the leader in polling. 

Changes from Last Update:  THIS IS OUR FINAL SENATE PROJECTION.  NO MORE TOSS UPS. HIGHLIGHTED RACES are once to keep an eye on. 

Final Projection:  DEMS:  58   GOP:   39    INDEP:  2    Runoff:  1

Updated 11/3/08

STE DEMOCRATS REPUBLICAN Inc Seat LAST POLLS PROJECTED WINNER
ALA  Vivian Figures  31.7% Sen. Jeff Sessions  62.6% GOP SUSA, Rasm, Rasm, Sessions reelected easily
ARK Sen. Mark Pryor Unopposed DEM Unopposed Pryor reelected easily
AK   Mark Begich 52% Sen. Ted Stevens 41.7% GOP Res2000, Rasm, Ivan, Mark Begich takes out the Felon, DEM PICKUP (+1)
CO  Mark Udall  53.3% Robert Schaffer  40% Open (GOP) CNN, PPP, NJ, AP Mark Udall wins easily, DEM PICKUP (+2)
DEL   Sen. Joe Biden  65% Christine O'Donnell  32% DEM SUSA, SUSA Biden wins easily
GA   Jim Martin  44% Sen. Saxby Chambliss  48.3% GOP PPP, SUSA, Res2000, This is going to a runoff, neither will get the 50% --- 12/2/08
ID   Larry Lorocco  31.25% REP. Jim Risch 49.25% GOP RES 2000, Rasm, GSmith, Risch will coast in easily
ILL   Sen. Dick Durbin  60% Steve Sauerberg  33% DEM Res2000, Rasm, Rasm Durbin easily wins
IOW   Sen. Tom Harkin  58.3% Christopher Reed  34.3% DEM Selz. SUSA, Rasm, Harkin easily wins
KS   Jim Slattery  34.6% Sen. Pat Roberts 57.3% GOP SUSA, SUSA, Rasm, Roberts easily wins
KTY   Bruce Lunsford  43.75% Sen. Mitch McConnell  49.5% GOP SUSA, RES200, SUSA, McConnell wins by closer than he would like
LA   Sen. Mary Landrieu  51.7% John Kennedy  37% DEM Loy, SE Lou UNIV, Rasm Sorry GOP, Landrieu will win this easily
ME  Tom Allen  41.7% Sen. Susan Collins  55.7% GOP Rasm, CI, Res2000, Once targeted as a pick up, Collins easily wins
MASS  Sen. John Kerry  60% Jeff Beatty  31% DEM SUSA, SUSA, Rasm, Kerry easily wins
MICH      Sen. Carl Levin  56% Jack Hoogendyk  35% DEM SV, Epic, Epic, Rasm Levin easily wins
MINN   Al Franken  40.3% Sen. Norm Coleman 40.3% GOP SUSA, Star, PPP, DEAD TIE !!!!  We project Franken wins a nail biter. (+3)
MISS Eric Fleming  35% Thad Cochran  58% GOP Rasm Cochran wins easily
MISS     Ronnie Musgrove  39.7% Sen. Roger Wicker  50% GOP Res2000, Rasm, Res 2000 Wickers wins by small margin, Musgrove fades
MONT   Sen. Max Baucus   67.5% Bob Kelleher  28.5% DEM PPP, Rasm Baucus wins easily
NEB   Scott Kleeb 34% Mike Johanns  57.5% OPEN (GOP) Rasm, Rasm, Rasm, Johanns wins easily
NC   Kay Hagan  47.4% Sen. Elizabeth Dole 42.8% GOP PPP, CNN, Elon, Despicable ad backfires, Hagan pulls away (+4)
NH   Jeanne Shaheen  49.25% Sen. John Sununu  41.25% GOP UNH, ARG, SUSA, Steady pickup, Shaheen wins (+5)
NJ   Sen.Frank Lautenberg  51% Dick Zimmer  40.3% DEM Mon, Res2000, SV, Marist, Was a GOP target, now an easy Lautenberg win
NM  Tom Udall   57% Steve Pearce  39% OPEN (GOP) AJ, PPP, Rasm Udall wins easily - DEM pickup. (+6)
OKL    Andrew Rice  39% Sen. James Inohfe  52.5% GOP SUSA, TV Poll, SUSA, Inohfe wins easily
ORE   Jeff Merkley  48.5% Sen. Gordon Smith 42.5% GOP Rasm, PPP, Hibb, SUSA, (6 Polls in 5 days)  Merkley wins a tight one - DEM pickup (+7)
RI Sen. Jake Reed Unopposed DEM Unopposed Reed wins easily
SC   Robert Conley  39.5% Sen. Lindsey Graham  57% GOP SUSA, Res 2000, SUSA Graham wins easily
SD   Sen. Tim Johnson  57% Joe Dykstra  34% DEM Mason Johnson wins easily
TN   Bob Tuke  34% Sen. Lamar Alexander  59% GOP Res2000, MTSU, Rasm Alexander wins easily
TX   Rick Noriega  42% Sen. John Cornyn 52% GOP Rasm, Res2000, Rasm, Conryn holds off challenge 
VA   Mark Warner  60.7% Jim Gilmore  30.3% OPEN (GOP) PPP, SUSA, CNN, Warner has an easy pickup (+8)
WV   Sen. Jay Rockefeller  59.5% Jay Wolfe  36.5% DEM PPP Rockefeller wins easily
WY   Rothfuss  34% Sen. Mike Enzi  61% GOP Res 2000 Enzi wins easily
WY   Nick Carter  36% John Barrasso  57% OPEN Res 2000 Barrasso wins easily